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Nov 20, 2017 16:47:54 GMT
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You are completely wrong there sb, producing new cars is EXACTLY the issue, as already said the pollution involved with the construction, use of more raw materials, the disposal of the old serviceable cars and parts that could be used over and over again to maintain those alrfeady on ther road, and so on You need to enter new technology into the market otherwise we would still be shovelling coal into our engines. New cars that produce less emmisions can easily overtake old cars on total emmisions produced, including manufacture. No no no sorry not true
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Nov 20, 2017 18:44:51 GMT
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It's a fascinating situation, air quality is an important issue and we should all recognise the need to support strategies to deliver this.
Equally I do think there is a sector of car buyers swayed by the PHEV and full electric options who see it as guilt free motoring blissfully ignorant of how the energy needed to both manufacture and charge their "emission free" vehicle. How environmentally friendly are the raw material mines supporting battery production, and is it truly sustainable?
In terms of the original post about the future for diesel, taxation, lots of taxation! Not to support innovation but to push consumers to buy new(and with it a nice 20% bonus on a £20k sale for the treasury).
More cities will introduce congestion charging, again making a change to new 'compliant' vehicles an attractive acquisition.
The times are changing, IC traction propulsion is under threat, not of absolute extinction in the short term, but it's use will become stigmatised in the next 25-30 years. Let's enjoy it while we can.... Best get that over lander built now.
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2014 - Audi A6 Avant 3.0Tdi Quattro 1958 - Chevrolet Apache Panel Truck 1959 - Plymouth Custom Suburban 1952 - Chevrolet 2dr Hardtop 1985 - Ford Econoline E350 Quadravan 2009 - Ovlov V70 2.5T 1970 - Cortina Mk2 Estate 2007 - Fiat Ducato LWB 120Multijet 2014 - Honda Civic 2.2 CTDi ES
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sb
Part of things
Posts: 725
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Nov 20, 2017 19:00:39 GMT
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You need to enter new technology into the market otherwise we would still be shovelling coal into our engines. New cars that produce less emmisions can easily overtake old cars on total emmisions produced, including manufacture. No no no sorry not true See a post Ive made on this topic before: I'm not as anti- electric vehicles as many are but as they haven't been in mainstream use for more than 2-3 years, this can only be really theoretical research. Having said that, something needs to be done to get older buses off cleaned up. They can often be seen pumping out horrible plumes of black (and smelly) smoke, plus they run all day when most cars are parked up causing no pollution whatsoever. I'll stop now before I launch into my whole public transport manifesto. Absolutely, which is my biggest gripe with everything Ive read. Not one article or report seems to state what they are counting as a 'lifetime'. Because ignoring that you need to take into account when the batteries will need to be replaced, which is where the majority of pollution goes on EVs. Depending on the level of clean energy produced though electrics can be leagues ahead. Sorry this is america-centric but I cant find a European version: For context CAL is looking towards 33% renewable energy, the rest of the 'best' states are 15-20%. So if we got our curse word together you would have to average 50-70mpg to compete with EVs (which admittedly isnt too hard nowadays). But if we actually figure out what we are doing you would have to do 70-100+mpg on average over a cars life. Honestly I thought EVs were a fad but as manufacturing improves in battery technology and we start to realise coal is a bit old fashioned they make sense in urban traffic heavy environments. Plus they're not some dull hippy mobile, EVs will shift hard, torque all day every day. I'm not an eco warrior, my car does ~10mpg, and I'm planning on something even less economical for the other one but I like EVs. Sorry for the rant... have a retro styled EV concept:
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Nov 20, 2017 19:59:16 GMT
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Thats an impressive response sb, I take my hat off to you, but as for new technology, I'm guessing you know how a nuclear power station produces its energy, and how old a technology is steam? My argument really hinges on the fact that just because a technology is old it doesn't mean that it is obsolete. We are all likely to get forced out of what we want to drive, and possibly even out of car ownership altogether, so I'm damn sure I'm going to drive what I like for as long as I possibly can.
As the saying goes, you will get me out of my Range Rover when you pry my cold dead fingers off the steering wheel.
And sorry but I still don't agree that building new cars with modern technology will be more EF than running old cars for longer.
Right, I have said my piece, and I'm going to stop arguing now, because this is one of the reasons I don't do facebook et al because I need to find better things to do with my life!
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Nov 20, 2017 20:52:53 GMT
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This thread needs more pictures. (Chevrolet Electrovan 1966, Hydrogen fuel cell experimental vehicle)
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sb
Part of things
Posts: 725
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Nov 20, 2017 21:18:09 GMT
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Thats an impressive response sb, I take my hat off to you, but as for new technology, I'm guessing you know how a nuclear power station produces its energy, and how old a technology is steam? My argument really hinges on the fact that just because a technology is old it doesn't mean that it is obsolete. We are all likely to get forced out of what we want to drive, and possibly even out of car ownership altogether, so I'm damn sure I'm going to drive what I like for as long as I possibly can. As the saying goes, you will get me out of my Range Rover when you pry my cold dead fingers off the steering wheel. And sorry but I still don't agree that building new cars with modern technology will be more EF than running old cars for longer. Right, I have said my piece, and I'm going to stop arguing now, because this is one of the reasons I don't do facebook et al because I need to find better things to do with my life! Not to belabour the point but just because turbines are still turbines doesnt mean the technology is the same. Turbines much like the ICE have not significantly changed in a long time but in that time we have increased their economy a lot. The 1.3 a series derivative in my truck is a whole different world to a new 1.3 turbo eco motor. The part that is missing from my quote is that peer review papers state categorically that a new EV over its life will be better for the environment, including its manufacture, over an average ICE. Note I still have not found a detailed answer for what a lifetime is or what an average petrol is. So that brings me to the graph, if you live in one of those states from the very first second your car is started until the day it dies it must average that mpg. Now if what the national grid says is true that they peaked 50% renewable you would need over 100mpg average on your ICE to equal the dirty power for the EV. Because new technology turbines are very efficient. For every mile you drive under the required offset MPG the EV catches up and with some of those numbers it is really not hard to see how the EV will easily overtake an ICE. Now consider this is the start of this tech, we can only move up so every year your ICE would have to get more and more efficient. I'm not telling you to move to the woods and only eat leaves, I own a rotary so I'm not winning any environmental awards! But don't lie to yourself that youre helping the world by keeping your old car running. While the argument may work for other new ICEs the EVs will win.
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Nov 20, 2017 21:49:31 GMT
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If the issue is really about clean air, and not as i suspect about generating revenue, then really the answer is quite simple. Make public transport free, then maybe more people would use it instead of taking their cars. Therefore cleaner air for everyone! Of course, I'm not sure that this would really work for the government, because if we all stopped driving our cars then we'd all stop paying at the pumps, and for VED, suddenly losing the government a massive amount of cash. But my feeling has always been that this is about generating revenue, and not by making the air cleaner. On another note, I read in one of those science magazines like FOCUS or something lately that if all the cars were taken off the road overnight it would have a negligable effect on the climate. But if all the cows used for farming were removed overnight the effects of global warming would be reversed in (I think it said) six months! But it might have been six years, but whatever, thats pretty quick. I'm not sure how true that is, as I tend to take all this stuff about the enviroment with a pinch of salt because in all honesty, i'm not sure anyone really knows! Still, its something to think about. Getting people onto public transport isn't so straight forwards when you don't live and work in a city. I live 20 miles from my work, it takes me 25 mins to drive, and I work shifts, mornings, afternoons, nights and weekends. A train would take me a little over an hour for the same journey, plus getting to and from the station at either end, so add another half hour on top. The earliest train in the morning would get me to work an hour after my shift started, and the last train home at night would mean me leaving work 1/4 hr early. The first train home after a night shift would get me home too late to take my son to school. Public transport not really going to work for me.
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scimjim
Club Retro Rides Member
Posts: 1,503
Club RR Member Number: 8
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Nov 20, 2017 22:29:55 GMT
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The part that is missing from my quote is that peer review papers state categorically that a new EV over its life will be better for the environment, including its manufacture, over an average ICE. Note I still have not found a detailed answer for what a lifetime is or what an average petrol is. Last time I looked at this in detail (about 5 years ago), in the small print was the assumption that battery technology would advance within 5-10 years, such that the precious metals in them could be recycled. As far as I’m aware, that hasn’t happened yet? Of course, we’re not looking at it from “an average” vehicle lifespan viewpoint, we’re all driving/repairing/rebuilding vehicles that would have been long gone if it wasn’t for people like us
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Nov 20, 2017 23:34:49 GMT
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The question should be, why TF you'd want to drive a vehicle with a diesel engine in... They have their place chap but has as been said, being used outside it they don't work efficiency... School run/shops etc. (blame the government etc... ect. Yawn) But to answer your question it's because they use relatively less fuel over petrol given certain parameters mentioned; They have better torque, less gear changes, more longevity are more waterproof, basic service parts. As you say a 'vehicle' I couldn't imagine the cost implications running my agricultural vehicles on 'clean' petrol... do you know where it comes from? 😜 Don't take insult... I'm just saying diesels have their place where they started: Agriculture and motorways... Not on the shops/school run as they've become which makes them killing nuns and kittens😭
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Last Edit: Nov 20, 2017 23:54:59 GMT by Deleted: Predictive teth
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mgmrw
Part of things
Posts: 701
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If the issue is really about clean air, and not as i suspect about generating revenue, then really the answer is quite simple. Make public transport free, then maybe more people would use it instead of taking their cars. Therefore cleaner air for everyone! Of course, I'm not sure that this would really work for the government, because if we all stopped driving our cars then we'd all stop paying at the pumps, and for VED, suddenly losing the government a massive amount of cash. But my feeling has always been that this is about generating revenue, and not by making the air cleaner. On another note, I read in one of those science magazines like FOCUS or something lately that if all the cars were taken off the road overnight it would have a negligable effect on the climate. But if all the cows used for farming were removed overnight the effects of global warming would be reversed in (I think it said) six months! But it might have been six years, but whatever, thats pretty quick. I'm not sure how true that is, as I tend to take all this stuff about the enviroment with a pinch of salt because in all honesty, i'm not sure anyone really knows! Still, its something to think about. Getting people onto public transport isn't so straight forwards when you don't live and work in a city. I live 20 miles from my work, it takes me 25 mins to drive, and I work shifts, mornings, afternoons, nights and weekends. A train would take me a little over an hour for the same journey, plus getting to and from the station at either end, so add another half hour on top. The earliest train in the morning would get me to work an hour after my shift started, and the last train home at night would mean me leaving work 1/4 hr early. The first train home after a night shift would get me home too late to take my son to school. Public transport not really going to work for me. Similar story here. Live roughly 12 miles from work. Officially work 07:30-16:00 but my hours vary all over the place, can be in 04:30-19:00 on a bad day. Nearest train station is a 3 mile walk from our house, then 2 miles to work. Bus station, 1 mile from house, 2 from work. Timetables don't work either. First bus would get me into work late, and I'd get home an hour or so later unless I left work earlier. Looking to car share, which on principle is great as 2 or 3 of us at 50mpg makes a 150mpg travel rate. But, all of us work in the same industry. If 2 are finished at 4, and the other ain't... Leave him to walk 12 miles home? So for now, I'll keep my £1k diesel car that provides for my needs. Oh yeah, and I work on an industrial site which is 5 miles wide, at various locations on it. So public transport would only ditch me 2 miles from one end. Meaning I'd be 6 or 7 miles from the other side. On foot I'd need full PPE on, so that'd be on the bus/train in steelies, hard hat, hivis coat, and ovvies.. Electric car, would be ok. Except at home it's street parking in a village, and work has no charging points. Bike? Possible. But it's 60-90 minutes each way depending upon the wind. And the only "safe route" takes you the opposite way to loop around the main road (unlit fast flowing single carriages A road).... On gravel paths. So no skinny tyres on a racer.
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LowStandards
Club Retro Rides Member
Club Retro Rides Member 231
Posts: 2,721
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The question should be, why TF you'd want to drive a vehicle with a diesel engine in... They have their place chap but has as been said, being used outside it they don't work efficiency... School run/shops etc. (blame the government etc... ect. Yawn) But to answer your question it's because they use relatively less fuel over petrol given certain parameters mentioned; They have better torque, less gear changes, more longevity are more waterproof, basic service parts. As you say a 'vehicle' I couldn't imagine the cost implications running my agricultural vehicles on 'clean' petrol... do you know where it comes from? 😜 Don't take insult... I'm just saying diesels have their place where they started: Agriculture and motorways... Not on the shops/school run as they've become which makes them killing nuns and kittens😭 I am of course being light hearted, diesels work well in tractors, lorries and vans (larger ones, I wish my Connect had a petrol engine) As an aside, the inventor committed suicide, no doubt when someone high up told him his new tractor/Train/Lorry engine would be placed in a car... I'm also aware older diesels appear to work-ish, newer ones are dire as they try to make them clean. It still doesn't change the fact they sound fecking awful
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The question should be, why TF you'd want to drive a vehicle with a diesel engine in... They have their place chap but has as been said, being used outside it they don't work efficiency... School run/shops etc. (blame the government etc... ect. Yawn) But to answer your question it's because they use relatively less fuel over petrol given certain parameters mentioned; They have better torque, less gear changes, more longevity are more waterproof, basic service parts. As you say a 'vehicle' I couldn't imagine the cost implications running my agricultural vehicles on 'clean' petrol... do you know where it comes from? 😜 Don't take insult... I'm just saying diesels have their place where they started: Agriculture and motorways... Not on the shops/school run as they've become which makes them killing nuns and kittens😭 That illustrates the point that lots of people were basically miss-sold cars that were inappropriate for their needs. It's much the same as what the financial services sector did with PPI and similar. In those cases, the banks were made to compensate their customers, but I've not seen the car companies handing over cash yet, except in the form of erroneous scrappage schemes which benefit the manufacturers in the sale of new cars.
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Dez
Club Retro Rides Member
And I won't sit down. And I won't shut up. And most of all I will not grow up.
Posts: 11,790
Club RR Member Number: 34
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Some good points coming out here especially regards the mis-selling of diesels. I noticed years ago short journeys often cost more in diesels than petrols. If any journey you do is less than 10 miles, you should be in a petrol really, but that's not something anyone would believe these days.
My own commute is about 15 miles each way, and the fuel difference between a petrol and diesel is negligable. But get out onto the dual carriageway and the diesel suddenly does 50% more MPGS. Part of my problem is you just can't buy a vehicle that does what I need it to do (a pickup truck) with a petrol engine anymore.
Thing is, that does point to electric vehicles being suitable for the vast majority of journeys for 'normal' people in the real world. The real issue is a large proportion of those journeys shouldn't be happening in a car at all though. I regularly see people jumping in cars for sub-1mile journeys these days.
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Last Edit: Nov 21, 2017 9:55:45 GMT by Dez
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Nov 21, 2017 10:15:17 GMT
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Some good points coming out here especially regards the mis-selling of diesels. I noticed years ago short journeys often cost more in diesels than petrols. If any journey you do is less than 10 miles, you should be in a petrol really, but that's not something anyone would believe these days. I drive a Diesel because having a metric curse word tonne of torque and two turbos is hilarious. However my usage is 50/50 between short commute to my train station three times a week and loooong journeys across the country for car shows, family stuff and board games. I definitely notice the difference on fuel consumption. As for alternative fuel stuff. I like EVs, I was discussing with rmad this on the way from Vegas to LA in a Camaro SS (ha!), I think they do just move the issue of pollution and resources up stream to the energy supply, but that does make it more solvable as diffuse issues are difficult to fix (it is easier to fix a bug on a server, than it is to ensure everyones web browser is up to date as way of a computer example). I really want to build an EV hillclimb car too. There are a bunch of places doing electric classics already which are pretty cool. I'm also interested to see how they hydrogen fuel cell stuff goes. As sb points out one of my big issues with current talk of emissions is the whole life cycle stuff hasn't had published research, or at least readily available published research. What is the environmental impact from a 15 year or 20 year life cycle of an EV car, compared to a current modern car, both will require the mining of materials which are horrendous in order to get the electronics etc. working, however an EV has that whole battery thing, but then it could theoretically be powered by renewable, or coal, or burning whale fat, or whatever. It would be good to know how these different things effect the whole life cycle of these cars and what the aim should be and the net benefit in relation to petrol, diesel etc. This thread could do with a partner thread of electric retros
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Nov 21, 2017 10:17:46 GMT
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yep, I'm lucky that my 18-20 mile each way commute is about 15-17 miles of dual carriageway motorway and A-road, really doesnt make sense to run a petrol for that journey daily, though I have done as its what I had back then!
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Nov 21, 2017 11:01:36 GMT
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This thread could do with a partner thread of electric retros My son showed me a pic of a Mk1 fiesta with an electric motor in it the other day I'll see if I can find it.........
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Dez
Club Retro Rides Member
And I won't sit down. And I won't shut up. And most of all I will not grow up.
Posts: 11,790
Club RR Member Number: 34
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Nov 21, 2017 11:54:46 GMT
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Personally, I can only see the move to EVs shortening the product Life cycle of cars drastically.
It's already been getting much shorter as tech is introduced into cars to manage emissions etc. When that tech goes wrong it's either determined too costly or too difficult to fix, and the cars get junked- most cars are killed by electrical related faults now, -that will cost more to diagnose and trace than the car is worth- not rust. We're hovering somewhere between 15-20 years average life cycle at the mo id say discounting everything that gets crashed.
How many pieces of tech do you have that are 10 years old, let alone 20? 10 years old is ancient for any form of consumer electronics, especially anything that isn't standalone. As soon as cars become a consumer electronic device, their life cycle is gunna shorten drastically.
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Nov 21, 2017 13:41:50 GMT
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Ooh... Design life, a fresh subject on its own. I work in the rail industry and the subject is prominent there.
Historically a train was expected to have a 'life' of between 30-40 years(and have delivered that), but there's a feeling that the new stock is possibly nearer to 20-25 years. For the leasing companies this creates an interesting challenge, previous planning assumed guaranteed income and recovery on investment over those extended periods.
Coming back to cars I'm not sure what design life is, I'd say that 15 years is at the upper end and that will come into 10-12 years for 85-90% of private cars with anything older being for the niche/enthusiast market(such as RR members).
The failure modes will be different, dominated by electronic obsolescence rather than corrosion or mechanical wear that dominated vehicle life cycles previously.
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2014 - Audi A6 Avant 3.0Tdi Quattro 1958 - Chevrolet Apache Panel Truck 1959 - Plymouth Custom Suburban 1952 - Chevrolet 2dr Hardtop 1985 - Ford Econoline E350 Quadravan 2009 - Ovlov V70 2.5T 1970 - Cortina Mk2 Estate 2007 - Fiat Ducato LWB 120Multijet 2014 - Honda Civic 2.2 CTDi ES
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mgmrw
Part of things
Posts: 701
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Nov 21, 2017 19:51:53 GMT
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Vehicle lifecycle will depend upon the owner at the time.
3 examples to mind are;
* My boss & her husband - scrapped a 06 vectra at 10 years old, 50k on the clock.
Never service cars, cheapest tyres they could find, annual wash for test.
* Another manager - 09 plate accord cdti tourer. Had it since new, now on somewhere close to 200k. It's nigh on mint. Only bill he's had outside of service and warranty was a catalyst or dpf. I forget which. No plans to get rid.
* Myself. 06 Saab 9-3 vector sport TiD saloon (150).
Bodywork is shabby (lacquer peel and wheels). Now on 140k. Costs around £1500 a year in parts and labour. Tyres, brakes, service, etc.
Now, go on the Facebook page for these... They're a £400 car.
No one fixes anything on them.
So why do I?
Cost to change.
Had it 7 years and 90,000 miles.
To get something as comfy, capable and nice I'd need £7k to £12k.
Beauty is in the eyes of the beholder.
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scimjim
Club Retro Rides Member
Posts: 1,503
Club RR Member Number: 8
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Nov 21, 2017 23:33:41 GMT
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As sb points out one of my big issues with current talk of emissions is the whole life cycle stuff hasn't had published research, or at least readily available published research. What is the environmental impact from a 15 year or 20 year life cycle of an EV car, compared to a current modern car, both will require the mining of materials which are horrendous in order to get the electronics etc. working, however an EV has that whole battery thing, but then it could theoretically be powered by renewable, or coal, or burning whale fat, or whatever. It would be good to know how these different things effect the whole life cycle of these cars and what the aim should be and the net benefit in relation to petrol, diesel etc. American and not particularly good but some basic parameters and ‘evidence” www.environment.ucla.edu/media/files/BatteryElectricVehicleLCA2012-rh-ptd.pdf
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